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Remarks by Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen at the First Meeting of the FSOC Climate

“As climate change intensifies, natural disasters and warming temperatures can lead to declines in asset values that could cascade through the financial system,” she said, according to her prepared remarks. “And a delayed and disorderly transition to a net-zero economy can lead to shocks to the financial system as well.”

“These impacts are not hypothetical. They are already playing out. In the United States, there’s been at least a five-fold increase in the annual number of billion-dollar disasters over the past five years compared to the 1980s, even after adjusting for inflation. States like California, Florida, and Louisiana recently have seen especially severe storms and wildfires. And recent devastating tornadoes across the South and intensifying storms on the West Coast are reminders of how climate change is accelerating.”

“In addition to the terrible toll of these disasters on individuals and families, the economic and financial impacts of these events are significant. For example, in response to rising insured losses, some insurers are raising rates or even pulling back from high-risk areas. This has potentially devastating consequences for homeowners and their property values. Developments like these can spill over to other parts of our interconnected financial system.”

While government institutions such as the U.S. Treasury, SEC, and Federal Reserve have vital roles to play in mitigating the physical- and transition risks of climate change, they need the tools to do so. That’s where Climate Alpha comes in.

Our platform combining state-of-the-art climate models with socio-economic variables and quality-of-life indicators is already changing how customers such as Oaktree ($170 billion in assets under management), BentallGreenOak ($83 billion AUM), and Lennar (60,000+ new homes per year) are repricing risk and opportunities in light of the dangers and disasters Secretary Yellen described today.

Visit www.climatealpha.ai to sign up for a free account and learn how we can do the same for you and your business.

#climaterisks #riskmanagement #creditrisk #reinsurance

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Catastrophe Reinsurance Set to Soar After Year of Extreme Weather

Natural catastrophes caused an estimated $115 billion in 2022, according to the Swiss Re Institute, with $50-$65 billion of that from #HurricaneIan alone. That’s nearly 50% above the 10-year average of $81 billion, and part of a steady 5-7% rise in insurable losses each year acording to the Financial Times.

That means a lot of pain for reinsurers like Swiss Re, which cover the risk for the insurers themselves. And that, in turn, means the cost of property catastrophe insurance is set to go up next — way up. British investment bank Peel Hunt estimates the cost may rise 30% in 2023, while Lloyd’s of London parent Beazly believes it could soar as much as 50%. As a result, the market for reinsurance is grinding to a halt as reinsurers and brokers tussle in repricing risk, with Aon’s top reinsurance executive warning of “friction and uncertainty.”

Clearly, this is no longer business as usual. As the soaring cost of reinsurance ripples through property markets, real estate in Florida and elsewhere will be repriced in tandem, while more resilient regions will look increasingly attractive in turn.

Our tools help reinsurers and investors alike understand the new realities of resilient geographies and arrive at the “Climate Price.” Visit www.climatealpha.ai to learn more about how we can help you in the year ahead.

#climaterisk #creditrisk #reinsurance #riskmanagement #climateadaptation #catrisk

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